Thursday, August 29, 2013

4G LTE in Africa: Courtesy Alcatel-Lucent - Analyst Blog

Leading communication equipment company Alcatel-Lucent, S.A (ALU) and Surfline Communications Ltd. recently announced that they have successfully deployed the first commercial 4G LTE (long-term evolution) network in Ghana. The collaboration of these companies to provide high-speed mobile broadband services is intended to meet the demand for fast wireless internet access in West and Central Africa.

Alcatel-Lucent will assist Surfline to roll out next-generation mobile communication by providing hardware and software in major cities, followed by a nationwide rollout. Additionally, Alcatel-Lucent will also provide installation, optimization, maintenance and managed services.

Alcatel-Lucent believes that its new IP architecture-based network will assist Surfline to expeditiously and economically expand mobile broadband capacity in order to meet the burgeoning customer demand, driven by the launch of low-cost smart phones.

The 4G LTE network is expected to provide quality service to Surfline's customers to access social networking sites, indulge in online gaming, view streamed videos and avail video calling and e-mail services. Moreover, the 4G-LTE network launch in Africa is likely to benefit the associated industries, thereby developing the overall economy. Thus the Alcatel-Lucent and Surfline collaboration is expected to positively contribute to Ghana's social and economic growth.

Alcatel-Lucent has been strategically forming alliance with a number of telecom companies to provide technology backup srvices for wireless broadband. Last month, it entered into an agreement with Telenor Group to provide high speed Internet services to Telenor's 2G, 3G and 4G customers across Europe and Asia.

Alcatel-Lucent currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Relatively better players within the Computer and Technology sector worth mentioning include AVG Technologies N.V. (AVG), Alliance Fiber Optic Products Inc. (AFOP) and Akamai Technolo! gies, Inc. (AKAM), each holding a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014

When looking for the best dividend stocks, it's usually best to not chase the highest dividend. Looking for quality dividend stocks with decent yields is usually a better recipe for large overall returns. Capital appreciation combined with a dividend can produce outsized returns.

Here are my top two picks for big pharma dividend stocks.

An oldie, but goodie
Technically,�Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ  ) isn't a pure pharma since it also sells medical devices and consumer health products, but it's that diversity that makes it such a stable dividend stock.

The company has a history of raising its dividend for more than half a decade. In April, Johnson & Johnson announced an 8.2% increase of its dividend, the 51st�consecutive increase.

AbbVie (NYSE: ABT  ) is the only pure pharma in the Dividend Aristocrats club, which requires 25 consecutive years of dividend increases. The six-month-old company is in the index because it spun out of Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT  ) , which was in the index before the split. Even Abbott technically cut its dividend because it lost a substantial amount of its cash flow from AbbVie's drug. Still, I think the S&P let them stay in the index�simply because there are so few health care companies in the Dividend Aristocrats.

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014: Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Inc (NAVB.A)

Navidea Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. (Navidea), formerly Neoprobe Corporation, incorporated in 1983, is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of precision diagnostic agents. As of December 31, 2011, the Company�� radiopharmaceutical development programs included Lymphoseek (Lymphoseek, Kit for the Preparation of Technetium Tc99m for Injection), a radiopharmaceutical agent for lymph node mapping; AZD4694, an imaging agent, and RIGScan, a tumor antigen-specific targeting agent. In January 2012, the Company executed an option agreement with Alseres Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Alseres) to license [123I]-E-IACFT Injection, also called Altropane, an Iodine-123 radiolabeled imaging agent, being developed as an aid in the diagnosis of Parkinson�� disease, movement disorders and dementia. In August 2011, the Company sold its gamma detection device line of business (the GDS Business) to Devicor Medical Products, Inc.

Lymphoseek

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Navidea�� pipeline includes clinical-stage radiopharmaceutical agents used to identify the presence and status of disease. Lymphoseek (Kit for the Preparation of Technetium Tc99m for Injection) is a lymph node targeting agent intended for use in intraoperative lymphatic mapping (ILM) procedures and lymphoscintigraphy employed in the overall diagnostic assessment of certain solid tumor cancers. The lymph system is a component of the body�� immune system. The key components of the lymph system are lymph nodes-small anatomic structures that contain disease-fighting lymphocytes, filter lymph of bacteria and cancer cells, and signal infection in response to heightened levels of pathogens. In Navidea�� Phase III clinical studies of Lymphoseek, it detected over 99% of positive nodes identified by vital blue dye (VBD). As of December 31, 2011, Navidea, in co-operation with UC, San Diego affiliate (UCSD), completed or initiated five Phase I clinical trials, one multi-c enter Phase II trial and three multi-center Phase II trial! s ! involving Lymphoseek. Two Phase III studies were completed in subjects with breast cancer and melanoma. During the year ended December 31, 2011, data from NEO3-09 were released, which indicated that all primary and secondary endpoints for the study were met. As of December 31, 2011, third Phase III clinical trial for Lymphoseek in subjects with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (NEO3-06) was in progress.

AZD4694

AZD4694 is a Fluorine-18 labeled precision radiopharmaceutical candidate for use in the imaging and evaluation of patients with signs or symptoms of cognitive impairment such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). It binds to beta-amyloid deposits in the brain that can then be imaged in positron emission tomography (PET) scans. Amyloid plaque pathology is a required feature of AD and the presence of amyloid pathology is a supportive feature for diagnosis of probable AD. Patients who are negative for amyloid pathology do not have AD. AZD4694 has b een studied in several clinical trials. Clinical studies through Phase IIa have included more than 80 patients to date, both suspected AD patients and healthy volunteers. No significant adverse events have been observed. Results suggest that AZD4694 has the ability to image patients quickly and safely with high sensitivity.

RadioImmunoGuided Surgery

As of December 31, 2011, RIGScan had been studied in a number of clinical trials, including Phase III studies. Navidea has conducted two Phase III studies, NEO2-13 and NEO2-14, of RIGScan in patients with primary and metastatic colorectal cancer, respectively. Both studies were multi-institutional involving cancer treatment institutions in the United States, Israel, and the European Union.

The Company competes with Pharmalucence, Eli Lilly, Bayer Schering, General Electric and GE Healthcare.

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014: Myriad Genetics Inc (MYGN)

Myriad Genetics, Inc. (Myriad) is a molecular diagnostic company. The Company is focused on developing and marketing predictive medicine, personalized medicine and prognostic medicine tests. It performs all of its molecular diagnostic testing and analysis in its own reference laboratories. These technologies include the cornerstone technologies of biomarker discovery, high-throughput deoxyribo nucleuc acid (DNA) sequencing, ribo nucleic acid (RNA) expression and multiplex protein analysis. The Company uses this information to guide the development of new molecular diagnostic tests that are designed to assess an individual's risk for developing disease later in life (predictive medicine), identify a patient's likelihood of responding to drug therapy and guide a patient's dosing to ensure optimal treatment (personalized medicine), or assess a patient's risk of disease progression and disease recurrence (prognostic medicine).

As of June 30, 2012, the Company had launched nine commercial molecular diagnostic tests. The Company markets these tests through its own approximate 385-person sales force in the United States. The Company also markets its BRACAnalysis, COLARIS, and COLARIS AP tests through its own European sales force and have entered into marketing collaborations with other organizations in selected Latin American, European and Asian countries. The Company also generates revenue by providing companion diagnostic services to the pharmaceutical, and biotechnology industries and medical research institutions utilizing its multiplexed immunoassay technology.

Molecular Diagnostic Tests

The Company's molecular diagnostic tests are designed to analyze genes, their mutations, expression levels and proteins to assess an individual's risk for developing disease later in life, determine a patient's likelihood of responding to a particular drug, assess a patient's risk of disease progression and disease recurrence and measure a patient's exposure to drug therapy to ensu! re optimal dosing and reduced drug toxicity. The Company's BRACAnalysis test is a analysis of the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes for assessing a woman's risk of developing hereditary breast and ovarian cancer. BRACAnalysis accounted for 81.7% of the Company's total revenue during the fiscal year ended June 30, 2012. Its The Company's COLARIS test is an analysis of the MLH1, MSH2, MSH6 and PMS2 genes for assessing a person's risk of developing colorectal cancer or uterine cancer.

The Company's COLARIS AP test detects mutations in the APC and MYH genes, which cause a colon polyp-forming syndrome known as Familial Adenomatous Polyposis (FAP), a more common variation of the syndrome known as attenuated FAP, and the MYH-associated polyposis signature (MAP). The Company's MELARIS test analyzes mutations in the p16 gene to determine genetic susceptibility to malignant melanoma. The Company's OnDose test is a nanoparticle immunoassay that is designed to assist oncologists in optimizing 5-FU (fluorouracil) anti-cancer drug therapy in colon cancer patients on an individualized basis. The Company's PANEXIA test is a comprehensive analysis of the PALB2 and BRCA2 genes for assessing a person's risk of developing pancreatic cancer later in life. The Company's PREZEON test is an immunohistochemistry test that analyzes the PTEN gene and assesses loss of PTEN function in many cancer types.

The Company's Prolaris test is a 46-gene molecular diagnostic assay that assesses whether a patient is likely to have a slow growing, indolent form of prostate cancer that can be safely monitored through active surveillance, or a more aggressive form of the disease that would warrant aggressive intervention, such as a radical prostatectomy or radiation therapy. The Company's TheraGuide 5-FU test analyzes mutations in the DPYD gene and variations in the TYMS gene to assess patient risk of toxicity to 5-FU (fluorouracil) anti-cancer drug therapy.

Companion Diagnostic Services and Other Revenue

! Through M! yriad RBM Inc., the Company provides biomarker discovery and companion diagnostic services to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical researches industries utilizing its multiplexed immunoassay technology. The Company's technology enables the Company to screen large sets of clinical samples from both diseased and non-diseased populations against the Company's menu of biomarkers. The Company's companion diagnostic services consist of Multi-Analyte Profile (MAP), Multiplexed Immunoassay Kits and TruCulture.

The Company has compiled a library of over 550 individual human and rodent immunoassays for use in its multi-analyte profile (MAP) testing services. The Company has also developed RodentMAP, a panel for use in pre-clinical animal studies and OncologyMAP, which measures cancer-related proteins to assists researchers accelerate the pace of discovery, validation and translation of cancer biomarkers for early detection, patient stratification and therapeutic monitoring. The Company has developed multiplexed immunoassay kits that enable its customers to leverage its technology services with their in-house capabilities. The Company's internally developed multiplexed immunoassay kits include all of the components necessary for a customer to perform a test on their own Luminex instrument. TruCulture is a simple, self-contained whole blood culture that can be deployed to clinical sites around the world for acquiring cell culture data without specialized facilities or training.

Top Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Hanger Orthopedic Group Inc.(HGR)

Hanger Orthopedic Group, Inc. engages in the ownership and operation of orthotic and prosthetic (O&P) patient care centers in the United States. The company provides orthotic and prosthetic patient care services. Its orthotics business include the design, fabrication, fitting, and maintenance of a range of standard and custom-made braces and other devices that provide external support to patients suffering from musculoskeletal disorders, such as ailments of the back, extremities or joints, and injuries from sports or other activities. The company?s prosthetics business comprise designing, fabricating, fitting, and maintaining custom-made artificial limbs for patients, who are without limbs as a result of traumatic injuries, vascular diseases, diabetes, cancer, or congenital disorders. It also distributes branded and private label O&P devices, as well as develops programs to manage various aspects of O&P patient care for insurance companies. In addition, the company manufac tures and distributes therapeutic footwear for diabetic patients in the podiatric market, as well as develops and provides specialized rehabilitation technologies and integrated clinical programs to rehabilitation providers. As of June 30, 2011, it operated approximately 675 patient-care centers in 45 states and the District of Columbia. The company, formerly known as Sequel Corporation, was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Newsy Stocks]

    Hanger Orthopedic Group Inc. (NYSE: HGR) engages in the ownership and operation of orthotic and prosthetic (OP) patient care centers in the United States. The company has a total market capitalization of $601.8 million and in the last 1-year the stock has given a return of 34 percent. The company does not pay any dividend to its stockholders, and has a price of profit (POP) of 10. The stock is trading at a P/E of 20.92, higher than the industry’s average P/E of 14.15. The PEG ratio of the stock is 0.86 years, lower than industry’s PEG of 1 year. The average 5 years historical earnings growth is 25.60 percent and is expected to grow at 15 percent for the next 5 years. Its quarterly revenue growth is estimated at 17.12 percent. The stock has a P/B value of 1.54x percent. Analyst at Jefferies brokerage firm has given it a buy rating on $31.20 price target. Based on the price target the stock is trading at a discount of 42.44 percent. HGR was up 2.04 percent to $18.53 on Wednesday.

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014: Cerus Corporation(CERS)

Cerus Corporation, a biomedical products company, engages in the development and commercialization of the INTERCEPT Blood System. The company?s INTERCEPT system is designed to inactivate blood-borne pathogens in donated blood components intended for transfusion. It markets the INTERCEPT system for platelets and plasma primarily in Europe, the Russian Federation, and the Middle East. The company is also developing INTERCEPT Blood System for red blood cells or red blood cell system, which is designed to inactivate blood-borne pathogens in donated red blood cells for transfusion. Cerus Corporation has collaboration agreements with Baxter International, Inc.; and BioOne Corporation, as well as the United States Armed Forces. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Concord, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Michael Shulman]

    Cerus (NASDAQ: CERS) developed and markets the INTERCEPT Blood System, which is designed to inactivate blood-borne pathogens in blood components so the blood can be used in transfusions. In other words, it “cleans” donated blood of viruses, bacteria and parasites.

    Cerus is pretty much the only game in town with this remarkable technology, and it has gained approval in most large European countries. Why not the United States? Well, management has not stood up to the FDA. The approval has been held up by one member of the FDA even though Cerus hit the primary endpoints in its pivotal Phase III trial and is receiving grants from the Department of Defense.

    The FDA should quit dragging its feet eventually. There is no scientific or product risk in this stock. Their system works. My target price is $14 in one to three years.

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014: Fuse Science Inc (DROP.PK)

Fuse Science, Inc. ( Fuse Science), incorporated on September 21, 1988, is a consumer products holding company. The Company maintains the rights to sublingual and transdermal delivery systems for bioactive agents that can effectively encapsulate and charge many varying molecules in order to produce complete product formulations which can be consumed orally, applied topically or delivered otherwise sublingually or transdermally, thereby bypassing the gastrointestinal tract and entering the blood stream directly. The Fuse Science technology is designed to accelerate conveyance of medicines or nutrients relative to traditional pills and liquids and can enhance how consumers receive these products. In December 2012, the Company launched its initial DROP products, PowerFuse, an energy formulation in a concentrated drop and ElectroFuse, an electrolyte formula in a concentrated drop, online, with the expansion into targeted retail distribution channels.

The Compan y is developing formulations and devices, which are compatible with alternative delivery systems for energy, medicines, vitamins and minerals, among other bioactives. These alternative systems include, but are not limited to, sublingual, transdermal and buccal drug delivery methods. use Science has developed and continues to advance, in conjunction with its scientific team, sublingual and transdermal delivery systems for bioactives that can effectively encapsulate and charge varying molecules in order to produce product formulations which can be consumed orally, applied topically or otherwise delivered sublingually or transdermally, thereby bypassing the gastrointestinal tract and entering the blood stream directly. The delivery technology is consists of encapsulation vesicles and ion exchange permeation enhancers. This technology utilizes a gradient across the mucosa membrane to help deliver the bioactive more efficiently through the mucosa.

The Company

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014: Galena Biopharma Inc (GALE.PH)

Galena Biopharma, Inc. (Galena), formerly RXi Pharmaceuticals Corporation, incorporated on April 3, 2006, is a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing and commercializing therapies addressing unmet medical needs using targeted biotherapeutics. The Company is pursuing the development of cancer therapeutics using peptide-based immunotherapy products, including its main product candidate, NeuVaxTM (E75), for the treatment of breast cancer and other tumors. NeuVax is a peptide-based immunotherapy intended to reduce the recurrence of breast cancer in low-to-intermediate HER2-positive breast cancer patients not eligible for trastuzumab (Herceptin; Genentech/Roche). On January 19, 2012, the Company initiated enrollment in its Phase 3 PRESENT clinical trial for NeuVax (E75 peptide plus GM-CSF) vaccine in low-to-intermediate HER2 1+ and 2+ breast cancer patients in the adjuvant setting to prevent recurrence (Clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT01479244). The Preven tion of Recurrence in Early-Stage, Node-Positive Breast Cancer with Low to Intermediate HER2 Expression with NeuVax Treatment study is a randomized, multicenter, multinational clinical trial that will enroll approximately 700 breast cancer patients. The Company�� Phase 2 trial of NeuVax achieved its primary endpoint of disease-free survival (DFS). On April 13, 2011, the Company completed its acquisition of Apthera, Inc.,(Apthera).

The Company focuses to start a Phase 2 trial comparing NeuVax in combination with trastuzumab (Herceptin) versus trastuzumab, alone, in a 300-patient, randomized study in the adjuvant breast cancer setting. The Company's second product candidate, Folate Binding Protein-E39 (FBP), is a vaccine, consisting of the peptides E39 and J65, aimed at preventing the recurrence of ovarian, endometrial, and breast cancers. On February 14, 2012, the Company announced the initiation of a Phase 1/2 clinical trial in two gynecological cancers: ovari an and endometrial adenocarcinomas. Folate binding protein! h! as very limited tissue distribution and expression in non-malignant tissue and is over-expressed in more than 90% of ovarian and endometrial cancers, as well as in 20% to 50% of breast, lung, colorectal and renal cell carcinomas.

In April 2011, the Company acquired Apthera Inc and its NeuVax product candidate. The Company focuses on developing a pipeline of immunotherapy product candidates for the treatment of various cancers based on the E75 peptide, the advanced of which is NeuVax, which is targeted at preventing the recurrence of breast cancer. NeuVax has had positive Phase 1/2 clinical trial results for the prevention of breast cancer recurrence in patients who have had breast cancer and received the standard of care treatment (surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy and hormonal therapy as indicated). The Company had also initiated its Phase 3 PRESENT clinical trial of NeuVax for the prevention of breast cancer recurrence in early-stage low-to-intermediate HER2 breast cancer patients. NeuVax directs killer T-cells to target and destroy cancer cells that express HER2/neu, a protein associated with epithelial tumors in breast, ovarian, pancreatic, colon, bladder and prostate cancers. NeuVax is comprised of a HER2/neu-derived peptide called E75. E75 is a nine-amino acid sequence that is immunogenic (produces an immune response) and GM-CSF is a commercially available protein that acts to stimulate and activate components of the immune system such as macrophages and dendritic cells.

The Company also develops novel applications for NeuVax based on preclinical studies and phases 2 clinical trials which suggest that combining NeuVax and trastuzumab (Herceptin; Genentech/Roche) can increase antigen presentation by tumor cells by promoting receptor internalization and subsequent proteosomal degradation of the HER2 protein. The Company also is pursuing additional therapeutic indications for NeuVax that are in Phase 1/2 clinical trials. RXI-109, is a dermal anti-scarring therapy that ! targ! ets! conne! ctive tissue growth factor (CTGF) and that may inhibit connective tissue formation in human fibrotic disease.

The Company competes with Roche Laboratories, Inc., Pfizer Inc., Bayer HealthCare AG, Sanofi-Aventis, US, LLC, Amgen, Inc., GlaxoSmithKline plc, Renovo Group plc, CoDa Therapeutics, Inc., Sirnaomics, Inc., FirstString Research, Inc., Merz Pharmaceuticals, LLC, Capstone Therapeutics, Halscion, Inc., Garnet Bio Therapeutics, Inc., AkPharma Inc., Promedior, Inc., Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Eyegene, Derma Sciences, Inc., Healthpoint Biotherapeutics, Pharmaxon, Excaliard Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Marina Biotech, Inc., Tacere Therapeutics, Inc., Benitec Limited, OPKO Health, Inc., Silence Therapeutics plc, Quark Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Rosetta Genomics Ltd., Lorus Therapeutics, Inc., Tekmira Pharmaceuticals Corporation, Arrowhead Research Corporation, Regulus Therapeutics Inc. and Santaris.

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014: Rexahn Pharmaceuticals Inc (RNN)

Rexahn Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Rexahn) is a development-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on the development of cures for cancer to patients worldwide. The Company�� pipeline features one drug candidate in Phase II clinical trials. The Company also has several other drug candidates in pre-clinical development. In addition, the Company has two renal cell carcinoma (CNS) candidates, Serdaxin, CNS Disorders drug for depression and neurodegenerative diseases and Zoraxel, which is a erectile dysfunction (ED) and sexual dysfunction drug that are in clinical stages and the Company is are exploring options for further development . The Company�� drug candidate, Archexin is an anticancer Akt inhibitor.

Archexin

Archexin is potent inhibitor of the Akt protein kinase (Akt) in cancer cells. Archexin has FDA orphan drug designations for five cancers (RCC, glioblastoma, and cancers of the ovary, stomach and pancreas). Multiple indications for other solid tumors can also be pursued. Archexin inhibit both activated and inactivated forms of Akt, and to reverse the drug resistance observed with the protein kinase inhibitors. Archexin is an antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) compound that is complementary to Akt mRNA, and selective for inhibiting mRNA expression and production of Akt protein. As of December 31, 2011, Archexin was in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of pancreatic cancer with enrollment completed in September, 2011.

Serdaxin

Serdaxin is an extended release formulation of clavulanic acid, which is an ingredient present in antibiotics approved by the FDA. The Company had been developing Serdaxin for the treatment of depression and neurodegenerative disorders. From January to September, 2011, the Company conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study compared two doses of Serdaxin, 0.5 milligram and 5 milligram, to placebo over an eight-week treatment period for major depressive disorder (MDD) patients. As of Dec! ember 31, 2011, the Company had not made a determination of Serdaxin�� future paths or resource allocations to further develop Serdaxin to treat MDD.

Zoraxel

Zoraxel is an orally administered, on-demand tablet to treat sexual dysfunction. Zoraxel is a dual enhancer of neurotransmitters in the brain that play a key role in sexual activity phases of motivation and arousal, erection and release, and may be the ED drug to affect all three of these phases of sexual activity. As of December 31, 2011, the Company was evaluating how to proceed with the Phase IIb study of Zoraxel.

The Company�� Pre-clinical Pipeline Drug Candidates includes RX-1792, which is a small molecule anticancer EGFR inhibitor; RX-5902, which is a small molecule anticancer ribonucleic acid (RNA) helicase regulator; RX-3117, which is a Small molecule anticancer deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) synthesis Inhibitor; RX-8243, which is a small molecule anticancer aurora kinase inhibitor; RX-0201-Nano, which is a nanoliposomal anticancer Akt inhibitor; RX-0047-Nano, which is an nanoliposomal anticancer HIF-1 alpha inhibitor and RX-21101, which is a nano-polymer Anticancer.

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014: Spectrum Pharmaceuticals Inc.(SPPI)

Spectrum Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biotechnology company, primarily focuses on oncology and hematology. The company engages in acquiring, developing, and commercializing a broad and diverse pipeline of late-stage clinical and commercial products. It markets Zevalin, a prescribed form of cancer therapy, radioimmunotherapy; and Fusilev, a novel folate analog formulation and the pharmacologically active isomer of the racemic compound, calcium leucovorin. The company?s drugs in late stage development include Apaziquone, an anti-cancer agent; and Belinostat, a histone deacytelase inhibitor. Its drugs in development also include Ozarelix a luteinizing hormone releasing hormone antagonist, which is in Phase II clinical stage; SPI-1620, a peptide agonist of endothelin B receptors, which is in Phase I clinical stage; and RenaZorb, a lanthanum-based nanoparticle phosphate binding agent, which is in preclinical stage. The company was formerly known as NeoTherapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Spectrum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. in December 2002. Spectrum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is based in Henderson, Nevada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    Another stock that's quickly moving within range of triggering a big time breakout trade isSpectrum Pharmaceuticals (SPPI), which is a commercial stage biotechnology company integrated in commercial and drug development operations, primarily in oncology and hematology. This stock has been destroyed by the short-sellers so far in 2013, with shares off by over 30%.

    If you look at the chart for Spectrum Pharmaceuticals, you'll see that this stock has been trending sideways for the last two months in a consolidation chart pattern, with shares moving between $6.92 on the downside and $7.77 on the upside. This sideways pattern is coming after shares of SPPI gapped down sharply back in March from $12.47 to below $8 a share with heavy downside volume. Shares of SPPI are now quickly moving within range of triggering a major breakout trade above the upper end of its recent sideways chart pattern.

    Market players should now look for long-biased trades in SPPI if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $7.65 to $7.77 a share and then once it takes out its 50-day at $8 and its gap down day high at $8.26 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 1.43 million shares. If that breakout hits soon, then SPPI will set up to re-fill some of its previous gap down zone that started at $12.47 a share. Some possible upside targets if SPPI gets into that gap with volume are $9.50 to its 200-day at $10.89 a share.

    Traders can look to buy SPPI off any weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below some near-term support levels at $7.09 to $7 a share. One can also buy SPPI off strength once it clears those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop at around $7 a share.

    This stock is an absolute favorite target of the short-sellers, since the current short interest as a percentage of the float for SPPI is extremely high at 37.4%. This stock has explosive upside potential if it trades into that gap with volume, so make sure to have it on your breakout trading radar.

  • [By Michael Shulman]

    Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: SPPI) is a commercial-stage biotechnology company with a primary focus in oncology and hematology The company specializes in rescuing treatments abandoned, in development stages, by other companies.

    It has had a tremendous run based on market introductions and partnerships in the past two years, but now has even greater potential for a blockbuster with a drug called Zevalin for non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma. This drug is currently approved as a salvage and adjunct therapy, and the company is in mid-stage trials for the use of Zevalin as a front-line treatment, which would be a much larger market.

    The risk in this stock is high. It could be cut in half or worse on bad news from one of several clinical trials. However, successful trial results could take this stock from under $7 to $32 in one to three years. SPPI could also become a takeover target.

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014: Uroplasty Inc (UPI)

Uroplasty, Inc., incorporated in January 1992, is a medical device company that develops, manufactures and markets products for the treatment of voiding dysfunctions. The Company�� primary focus is on two products: the Urgent PC Neuromodulation system and Macroplastique Implants. The Urgent PC system is a United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved minimally invasive, office-based neuromodulation therapy for the treatment of overactive bladder (OAB) and associated symptoms of urinary urgency, urinary frequency, and urge incontinence; and Macroplastique Implants a urethral bulking agent for the treatment of adult female stress urinary incontinence primarily due to intrinsic sphincter deficiency (ISD). Outside of the United States, the Company�� Urgent PC is also approved for treatment of fecal incontinence, and Macroplastique is also approved for treatment of male stress incontinence and vesicoureteral reflux.

Urgent PC Neuromodulation System

Using a small-gauge needle electrode inserted above the ankle, the Urgent PC System delivers electrical impulses to the tibial nerve that travel to the sacral nerve plexus, a control center for pelvic floor and bladder function. Components of the Urgent PC system include a hair-width needle electrode, a lead set, and an external, handheld, battery-powered stimulator. For each 30-minute, office-based therapy session, the physician or other qualified healthcare provider inserts the needle electrode in the patient�� lower leg and connects the electrode to the stimulator. Typically, a patient undergoes 12 consecutive weekly treatment sessions, with follow-up maintenance treatments as required to sustain the therapeutic effect. The Company has received regulatory clearances for sale of the Urgent PC system in the United States, Canada and Europe. It also has launched its second generation Urgent PC system.

Macroplastique

Macroplastique is designed to restore the patient�� urinary contine! nce immediately following treatment. Macroplastique is a soft-textured, permanent implant injected, under endoscopic visualization, around the urethra distal to the bladder neck. It is a composition of heat vulcanized, solid, soft, irregularly shaped polydimethylsiloxane (solid silicone elastomer) implants suspended in a biocompatible excretable carrier gel. Macroplastique does not degrade, is not absorbed into surrounding tissues and does not migrate from the implant site. The Company has sold Macroplastique for several urological indications in over 40 countries outside the United States.

Other Uroplasty Products

The Company markets outside of the United States minimally invasive products to address fecal incontinence. Its PTQ Implants offer minimally invasive, soft-textured permanent implant for treatment of fecal incontinence. The PTQ Implants are implanted circumferentially into the submucosa of the anal canal, creating a bulking and supportive effect similar to that of Macroplastique injection for the treatment of stress urinary incontinence. The PTQ is Conformite Europeenne (CE) marked and is sold outside the United States in various international markets. The Urgent PC is also CE marked and sold outside of the United States for the treatment of fecal incontinence. In addition to urological applications, the Company markets its tissue bulking material outside the United States for otolaryngology vocal cord rehabilitation applications under the trade name VOX Implants. In the Netherlands and the United Kingdom only, the Company distributes certain wound care products in accordance with a distributor agreement.

The Company competes with Pfizer Inc., Johnson and Johnson, Novartis, Allergan, GlaxoSmithKline, Carbon Medical Technologies, BioForm, Inc., Q-Med AB and Contura.

Top 10 Medical Companies For 2014: InspireMD Inc (NSPR)

InspireMD, Inc., incorporated on February 29, 2008, is a medical device company. The Company is focusing on the development and commercialization of its stent platform technology, MGuard. MGuard provides embolic protection in stenting procedures by placing a micron mesh sleeve over a stent. Its initial products are marketed for use mainly in patients with acute coronary syndromes, notably acute myocardial infarction (heart attack) and saphenous vein graft coronary interventions (bypass surgery). The Company�� products include MGuard Coronary Plus Bio-Stable Mesh, MGuard Peripheral Plus Bio-Stable Mesh, MGuard Carotid Plus Bio-Stable Mesh and MGuard Coronary Plus Bio-Absorbable Drug-Eluting Mesh. Its initial MGuard Coronary products incorporated a stainless steel stent. The Company subsequently replaced this stainless steel platform with a more advanced cobalt-chromium based platform, which the Company refers to as the MGuard PrimeTM version of its MGuard Coronary. The Company operates in Germany through its wholly owned subsidiary InspireMD GmbH.

The Company focuses on applying its technology to develop additional products used for other vascular procedures, specifically carotid (the arteries that supply blood to the brain) and peripheral (other arteries) procedures. The MGuard stent is an embolic protection device based on a protective sleeve, which is constructed out of an ultra-thin polymer mesh and wrapped around the stent. The protective sleeve is comprised of a micron level fiber-knitted mesh, engineered in an optimal geometric configuration and designed for utmost flexibility while retaining strength characteristics of the fiber material.

MGuard - Coronary Applications

The Company�� MGuard Coronary with a bio-stable mesh and its MGuard Coronary with a drug-eluting mesh focuses on the treatment of coronary arterial disease. The Company�� first MGuard product, the MGuard Coronary with a bio-stable mesh, is comprised of its mesh sleeve wrapped around a! bare-metal stent. The bio-absorbability of MGuard Coronary with a drug eluting bio-absorbable mesh is intended to improve upon the bio-absorbability of other drug-eluting stents, in light of the wide surface area of the mesh and the small diameter of the fiber.

MGuard - Carotid Applications

The Company focuses on marketing its mesh sleeve coupled with a self-expandable stent for use in carotid-applications. Expandable stent is a stent that expands without balloon dilation pressure or need of an inflation balloon. This product is under development, although the Company has temporarily delayed its development until additional funding is secured.

MGuard - Peripheral Applications

Peripheral Artery Disease, also known as peripheral vascular disease, is characterized by the accumulation of plaque in arteries in the legs, need for amputation of affected joints or even death, when untreated. Peripheral Artery Disease is treated either by trying to clear the artery of the blockage, or by implanting a stent in the affected area to push the blockage out of the way of normal blood flow.

The Company competes with Abbott Laboratories, Boston Scientific Corporation, Johnson & Johnson, Medtronic, Inc., The Sorin Group, Xtent, Inc., Cinvention AG, OrbusNeich, Biotronik SE & Co. KG, Svelte Medical Systems, Inc., Reva Inc. and Stentys SA.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    InspiredMD (NSPR) is a medical device company focusing on the development and commercialization of its proprietary stent platform technology, MGuard. This stock is trading up 2.3% to $2.59 in recent trading.

    Today’s Range: $2.44-$2.65

    52-Week Range: $1.88-$10.16

    Volume: 313,000

    Three-Month Average Volume: 99,632

    From a technical perspective, NSPR is trending higher here right off its 50-day moving average at $2.42 with heavy upside volume. This stock has been getting heavy upside volume flows for the last few weeks, which is bullish technical action. Shares of NSPR are now quickly moving within range of triggering a major breakout trade. That trade will hit if NSPR manages to take out some near-term overhead resistance levels at $2.85 to $3 with high volume.

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in NSPR as long as it’s trending above its 50-day at $2.42 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 99,632 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then NSPR will set up re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $3.55 to $4.25. This stock could even tag its 200-day at $4.80 if it breaks out soon and catches some momentum buying.

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Is Amazon Losing Momentum?

With shares of Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) trading at around $248.23, is AMZN an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

C = Catalyst for the Stock's Movement

Reading this article requires a little imagination. If you lack imagination, don't worry, here's some inspiration…

Great song, but this isn't going the political or religious route. We're going a much different route. Imagine you're trapped inside a Men in Black movie and a neuralyzer has been used on you. For those not familiar with the Men in Black franchise, this means that your recent memories (and sometimes not so recent memories) have been erased. With that in mind, imagine that you have never heard of Amazon. The only thing you now know is that this is a company with weak margins, poor valuation, high sensitivity to market corrections, and it has difficulty showing profits. Would you feel comfortable investing in this company?

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Passionate Amazon longs are likely angrier than a pack of unfed and caged wolves right now. Then again, Amazon longs have seen this argument so many times that they're probably immune to it.

On the bullish side, Amazon has shown consistent revenue improvements on an annual basis, it has superb customer service, and analysts love the stock (18 Buy, 12 Hold, 1 Sell). Amazon Instant Video also has potential. It's cheaper than Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), but Netflix offers more content and better quality.

Amazon.com's traffic has steadily increased over the past two years. On the other hand, the past three months has seen a 22 percent decline in time-on-site and a 20 percent increase in bounce rate. These aren't necessarily bad signs, but they're not good signs.

According to Glassdoor.com, employees rate Amazon a 3.4 of 5, which is very high. A somewhat impressive 66 percent of employees would recommend the company to a friend, and an impressive 87 percent of employees approve of CEO Jeff Bezos. It's evident that the company culture is strong, which is a great sign as it increases productivity.

Now let's take a look at some comparative numbers. The chart below compares fundamentals for Amazon, Netflix, and eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY). Amazon has a market cap of $112.59 billion, Netflix has a market cap of $11.94 billion, and eBay has a market cap of $67.93 billion.

AMZN

NFLX

EBAY

Trailing   P/E

N/A

515.01

25.40

Forward   P/E

70.28

69.06

16.25

Profit   Margin

-0.14%

0.65%

18.68%

ROE

-1.11%

3.31%

13.64%

Operating   Cash Flow

 $4.25 Billion

-$8.51 Million

 $4.24 Billion

Dividend   Yield

N/A

N/A

N/A

Short   Position

1.80%

N/A

1.30%

 

Let's take a look at some more important numbers prior to forming an opinion on this stock.

E = Equity to Debt Ratio Is Normal         

The debt-to-equity ratio for Amazon is close to the industry average of 0.36.

Debt-To-Equity

Cash

Long-Term Debt

AMZN

0.36

$7.90 Billion

$3.04 Billion

NFLX

0.62

$1.03 Billion

$500.00 Million

EBAY

0.21

$9.40 Billion

$4.52 Billion

 

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T = Technicals Have Weakened  

Amazon has been a big winner over a three-year time frame, but the year-to-date performance has been subpar.

1 Month

Year-To-Date

1 Year

3 Year

AMZN

-6.96%

-1.17%

6.92%

80.85%

NFLX

12.53%

130.00%

165.80%

115.40%

EBAY

-3.36%

2.75%

27.74%

120.40%

 

At $248.23, Amazon is trading below all its averages.

50-Day   SMA

264.34

100-Day   SMA

263.03

200-Day   SMA

251.73

 

E = Earnings Have Been Weak                              

Earnings have declined over the past two years. However, revenue growth has been steady. This is impressive considering many companies throughout the broader market have seen revenue declines in 2012.

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Revenue   ($)in   billions

19.17

24.51

34.20

48.08

61.09

Diluted   EPS ($)

1.49

2.04

2.53

1.37

-0.09

 

When we look at the previous quarter on a year-over-year basis, we see an increase in revenue and a decline in earnings. Both revenue and earnings have declined on a sequential basis.

3/2012

6/2012

9/2012

12/2012

3/2013

Revenue   ($)in   billions

13.18

12.83

13.81

21.27

16.07

Diluted   EPS ($)

0.28

0.01

-0.60

0.21

0.18

 

Now let's take a look at the next page for the Trends and Conclusion. Is this stock an OUTPERFORM, a WAIT AND SEE, or a STAY AWAY?

T = Trends Do Not Support the Industry

For companies like Amazon, it's all about the consumer. That's bad news for Amazon. The best shot Amazon has at maintaining its current growth rate is through innovation, and it's certainly doing a good job in that area. However, economic headwinds are nearing hurricane force. They include the potential for massive federal spending cuts, higher taxes, a continuously weakening Europe, and a weak U.S. consumer.

NEW! Discover a new stock idea each week for less than the cost of 1 trade. CLICK HERE for your Weekly Stock Cheat Sheets NOW!

Conclusion

Amazon is a great company with a superb leader, but it's simply a dangerous investment in this economic environment. The stock has lost momentum in a strong market. What would happen in a weak market? Savvy investors certainly wouldn't choose to hold onto expensive technology stocks over their safer investments.

Monday, August 26, 2013

Cisco Justifies Shareholder Confidence In Its Stock

Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) has continued to justify the confidence of its shareholders, with share prices increasing by some 34% over the past year. According to the results of its latest earnings report, its revenues during the fourth quarter of FY 2013 increased by 6.2% to $12.4 billion during the May to July period, compared with the same quarter last year, which was in line with Wall Street analysts' expectations. In addition, other financial indicators also recorded increases, with its earnings per share growing by some 16.7% year-on-year to $0.52 while its net income rose by 18% to $2.8 billion.

Its guidance for 2014 was also positive, with a consensus estimate of $2.24 EPS, implying a forward P/E of 10, while earnings growth for the next five years is 9%. In addition, the company also declared cash dividends of $0.17 per share for the quarter, paying a total of $918 million to shareholders, as well as buying back some 47 million shares of stock at around $24.80 per share, or a total of $1.2 billion worth of shares. The company designs and sells IP-based networking and products related to the IT and communications sectors worldwide.

More Favorable Conditions

The stronger results were attributed to a more favorable macroeconomic condition that allowed Cisco to increase its market share in the data center sector through stronger sales of its routers, switches and servers. There was expected to be increased demand from corporations for Cisco products as these enterprises upgraded their systems and shifted to cloud computing. According to research firm IDC, the networking and communications company has a bright future with the data center market seen to grow by more than 400% from $3.2 billion in 2010 to $16.9 billion by 2015. In addition, Infonetics Research predicted that the carrier router and switch market will grow by 8% annually until 2017.

Cisco recently announced that it would be cutting 5% of its workforce, or some 4,000 jobs, as part of a growth strategy! that would free up resources for strategic acquisitions as well as to support the company's faster-growing segments. CEO John Chambers said the company sees growth opportunities in cloud computing, Internet products and mobile services.

Cisco also performed well when compared to its competitors in the networking and communication devices sector. The network equipment giant had a profit margin of 20.1% and operating margin of 22.3%, which is better than rivals Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ) and Juniper Networks (NYSE:JNPR). Hewlett-Packard has a profit margin of 11.6% and an operating margin of 7.9%, while Juniper's profit margin is 6.7% and operating margin, 11.6%.

Cisco has a lower beta than the two companies, at 1.4 compared with Hewlett-Packard's 1.67 and Juniper's 2.26, which means share prices will experience less volatility. And at 7.1%, Cisco's return on assets are more favorable than Hewlett-Packard's 4.9% and Juniper's 3.2%, as well as enjoying a better return on equity (17.8%) while Juniper's was 16.9% and Hewlett-Packard - 40.8%.

The company is also performing strongly relative to general industry indicators. Cisco has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 which, although it is very low, is still greater than the industry average, and also maintains a 2.67 quick ratio, which shows that it has the ability to cover its short-term cash requirements quickly.

A Recommended Buy

The improved prospects of the company were recognized by analysts who recommended that their clients buy the stock. ISI Group upgraded its estimates for the stock to a price target of $22 a share, while JP Morgan also boosted its price targets to $26 per share from the previous estimate of $18. The stock has been trading at a 52-week range of $16.68 to $26.49 and recently closed at $23.86. A significant number of hedge fund managers also continue to hold Cisco stock as part of the mutual funds they are overseeing. As of end-March 2013, some 74 fund managers owned Cisco stock with 20 of them allocating at ! least one! percent of their portfolio to it. In addition, insiders also continued to maintain their substantial shareholdings in the company, an indicator that they believe the stock still represents good value.

In Closing

The general consensus for Cisco stock is that despite a few minor weaknesses, the company's strengths, such as its generally solid financial position, attractive valuation and sturdy stock prices will ensure that shares will continue to accumulate in value in the future.

Source: Cisco Justifies Shareholder Confidence In Its Stock

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. (More...)

Saturday, August 24, 2013

BofA Boosts Profits 63% as Merrill Advisors Top $1M in Production

Bank of America (BAC) said Wednesday that its second-quarter net income rose 63% to $4.0 billion, or $0.32 per share, from $2.5 billion, or $0.19 per share, a year ago, which beat analysts’ estimates. Revenue improved 3% to $22.9 billion from $22.2 billion last year.

"We are doing more business with our customers and clients, and gaining momentum across every customer group we serve," said CEO Brian Moynihan, in a press release. "We must keep improving, but with the consumer recovering and businesses strong, we have lots of opportunity ahead.

The bank cut expenses about 6% to $16 billion. It also trimmed close to 7% of its positions over the past 12 months and now has some 257,000 employees.

"At the beginning of the year, we said we would focus on three things revenue stability, strengthening the balance sheet and managing costs," said CFO Bruce Thompson, in a statement. "This quarter, we delivered on all three. Revenue increased 3%, we continued to build capital ratios, despite the negative impact of higher interest rates on our bond portfolio, and we reduced expenses related to servicing delinquent mortgage loans at a faster rate than we originally expected."

Wealth Management  

BofA-Merrill Lynch’s Global Wealth and Investment Management unit increased its net income 38% from the second quarter of 2012 to $758 million. In addition, its pretax margin was 28% in the recent period vs. 21% in the year-ago quarter.

Revenue grew 10% year over year to $4.5 billion. The results were driven by “higher asset management fees related to higher market levels and long-term AUM flows, higher transactional revenue and higher net interest income,” the company says.

The number of financial advisors was 15,759 as of June 30, down 306 from 16,065 in the first quarter and a decrease of 1,005 reps from the year-ago quarter. Merrill Lynch FAs had average yearly fees & commissions of over $1 million as of Q2’13, up from $971,000 as of Q1’13 and $895,000 as of Q2’12.

The number of GWIM advisors was 16,989 in the second quarter vs. 17,293 in the prior quarter and 18,060 last year, while the total headcount for client-facing financial professionals was 19,689 in Q2’13 vs. 20,018 in the prior quarter and 20,844 a year ago. US Trust has 2,084 reps.

Net AUM flows for the wealth unit were $7 billion in the second quarter, down from $18 billion in the prior quarter, but up from $3.7 billion a year ago. For the first six months of 2013, total flows stood at $25 billion vs. $11.4 for the same period in 2012.

Client balances rose 8% (excluding certain balance transfers) from the year-ago quarter to $2.22 trillion, “reflecting higher market levels and net inflows, driven by client activity in long-term AUM, deposits and loans,” according to the bank; client balances in Merrill Lynch accounts were $1.8 billion. Total GWIM assets under management rose $76.2 billion, or 11%, year over year to $743.6 billion.

Asset-management fees grew 10% year over year to $1.7 billion, while long-term AUM flows more than doubled from the year-ago quarter to $7.7 billion.

---

Check out Goldman Sachs’ Q2 Earnings More Than Double on AdvisorOne.

Sunday, August 18, 2013

Hanesbrands Reaches 52-Week High - Analyst Blog

Shares of Hanesbrands, Inc. (HBI) reached a new 52-week high of $53.13 on Jul 8 on the back of bright prospects for 2013, driven by the company's plans to roll out new products.

Shares of this textile retailer closed at $52.59 on Jul 8, recording a healthy return of 48.3% on a year-to-date basis. The company's long-term estimated EPS growth rate is 14%. Average volume of shares traded over the last three months came in at approximately 644K.

Growth Drivers

Hanesbrands plans to stick to its 'Innovate to Elevate' strategy that helped it to achieve higher unit selling prices and lower unit costs, thus contributing to margin enhancement and improved profitability in 2013. Further, Hanesbrands' focus on innovation, emphasis on higher-priced and higher-margin products, lower cotton costs and prudent expense management is expected to drive solid results in 2013.

The company also has substantial cash flows, which will create many opportunities for increasing shareholder returns. Hanesbrands initiated a regular quarterly dividend payment of 20 cents in Apr 2013 and intends to make dividend payout of 20% to 25% of free cash flow in the coming years. The company also plans to engage in acquisitions and share repurchases in order to maximize the value of cash flows.

Hanesbrands reported first-quarter 2013 earnings of 51 cents compared to a loss of 25 cents in the comparable prior-year quarter. The upswing was driven by lower cotton costs and disciplined cost management. Earnings also beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.9%. In fact, Hanesbrands has topped earnings estimates in the last five quarters.

Gross margin increased 140 basis points (bps) in the quarter on the back of positive pricing and closure of underperforming businesses. Operating margin also expanded 790 bps to 9.0% on the back of lower cotton costs, positive pricing and success of the Innovate-to-Elevate strategy.

Other Stocks to Consider

Hanesbrands holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold! ). Other stocks in the textile and apparel industry that are also worth considering are Michael Kors Holding Ltd (KORS), G-III Apparel Group Inc (GIII) and PVH Corp (PVH), all of them carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

Will St. Jude Miss Earnings This Quarter? - Analyst Blog

St. Jude Medical Inc. (STJ) is set to report its second-quarter 2013 results before the opening bell on Wednesday, Jul 17. Let's see how things are shaping up prior to the announcement.

In the last reported quarter, the medical device major posted break-even earnings surprise. An improved operating margin on the back of the company's restructuring efforts to streamline the underlying business helped offset declining organic revenue growth.

Factors to Consider This Quarter

We are primarily concerned about St. Jude's declining top line. The core Cardiac Rhythm Management (CRM) division continues to face multiple headwinds. A still choppy U.S. defibrillator market remains an overhang on St. Jude, as reflected by sustained implant volume pressure. Additionally, we remain cautious about increased competition, pricing pressure, softness in cardiovascular sales along with currency fluctuations.

Meanwhile, we expect growth in international revenues to boost overall sales of the company. New growth drivers such as an innovative product line along with restructuring efforts to streamline the underlying business will likely be accretive for STJ in the long term. The company has received a number of regulatory approvals for its latest offerings as well as initiated a number of clinical trials in the second quarter, which is encouraging.

Earnings Whispers?

Our proven model does not conclusively show that St. Jude is likely to beat earnings estimate this quarter. That is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP (Read: Zacks Earnings ESP: A Better Method) and a Zacks Rank of #1, 2 or 3 for this to happen. This is not the case here, as you will see below.

Negative Zacks Earnings ESP: The Most Accurate Estimate stands at 93 cents, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged at 94 cents. This comes to a difference of -1.06%.

Zacks Rank #4 (Sell): St. Jude's Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) lowers the predictive power of ESP. The Zacks Rank #4 tog! ether with -1.06% earnings ESP makes surprise prediction difficult.

Other Stocks to Consider

Here are some other companies from the medical sector you may want to consider as our model shows they have the right ingredients to post an earnings beat this quarter:

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT), Earnings ESP of +27.78% and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) Zimmer Holdings, Inc. (ZMH), Earnings ESP of +0.69% and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) CR Bard Inc. (BCR), Earnings ESP of +0.73% and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold)

Saturday, August 17, 2013

CSX On Target, But Hard To Find A Reason To Pay Up

Although rail stocks have come a bit off their highs, particularly the eastern operators, Wall Street still remains pretty bullish on the prospects of rail continuing to take share from trucking. With that, an in-line quarter for CSX (NYSE:CSX) isn't likely to change the story much in either direction. Improvements in the coal business next year, a continued housing recovery, and ongoing growth in the intermodal business should all lead to better volume and operating profits, but the stock's valuation indicates that Wall Street is already counting on that happening.

Second Quarter Results Come In On Target
While there were some line by line deviations relative to estimates, CSX came in basically as expected for the second quarter, which will likely give investors a bit more confidence about the upcoming earnings from other railroads like Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC), Union Pacific (NYSE:UNP), and Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU).

SEE: A Primer On The Railroad Sector

Revenue rose 2% this quarter, as growth was nearly evenly balanced between carload (volume) and yield (price) growth. Carloads rose 1% as merchandise volumes improved 3%, auto improved 2%, intermodal improved 4%, and coal/iron ore volume declined 6%. Pricing was a little more consistent, as merchandise yields improved 1%, auto rose 3%, coal was up slightly, and intermodal improved 2%. All told, this was very much as expected as chemicals and fertilizer traffic was a little higher, but a few other categories were slightly softer than expected.

Profitability was likewise more or less as expected. Reported operating income rose 2%, though ex-items it was down less than 1%. Either way, the operating ratio was still below 70 and still better than the first quarter, though the adjusted number was slightly worse than the year-ago level. EBITDA was up 1% from last year and CSX saw a slight improvement in fuel costs relative to the year-ago quarter.

Coal Still Uncertain
Coal is a major part of the volume for every Class I railroad and still a major talking point in the industry. Between the rail traffic numbers, the utility stockpile data, and the comments from coal companies like Arch Coal (NYSE:ACI) and Peabody (NYSE:BTU), I would be cautiously optimistic that U.S. utility coal demand is on the way back.

That would certainly help explain part of the 9% increase in domestic utility volume this quarter for this quarter. It's also worth noting that the exceptional heat in the Northeast right now could help demand, as utility stockpiles were already relatively low (at least compared to the levels of recent years). Likewise, it's worth noting that CSX has shifted its coal exposure away from the Appalachian region such that Illinois Basin and Powder River Basin coal is about 50% of the mix.

SEE: A Clear Look At EBITDA

Export coal volumes are still a big unknown and a big deal to both CSX and Norfolk Southern at roughly one-third and one-quarter of coal volumes, respectively. A recovery in the steel industry would certainly help met coal demand, but I don't know how likely that is for 2014. I do believe, though, that thermal volumes could turn around if/when the economy in Europe improves.

The Bottom Line
I understand the bull story for the railroads and intermodal companies like J.B. Hunt (Nasdaq: JBHT). My only real issue with it is the extent to which the magnitude of the truck-to-rail shift is already reflected in the prices of the stocks.

SEE: Intermodal Growth Continues To Push J.B. Hunt Higher

If CSX gets a 7x multiple to forward EBITDA (above the long-term average), the fair value for the shares is about $24. A multiple of 7x or 7.5x (which would lead to a $26.50 target price) would normally be pretty good for a railroad, but investors have been willing to go higher to factor in the growth and profit potential of drivers like crude over rail, intermodal, and the housing recovery. That's fair enough, I suppose, but I won't pay more than 7.5x for a stock in a cyclical, economically-sensitive, derived demand industry with high capex needs, so I won't be buying CSX shares for my own account any time soon.

Friday, August 16, 2013

E-gold Vs Gold ETF: Which one can sparkle your portfolio?

"If one is looking at very long-term then E-Gold is a good option to use. If one is looking at shorter term then gold ETF would probably be a better option," he said in an interview to CNBC-TV18.

He expects gold to perform well for some more time, so he suggets investing in gold but in a systematic basis - through a gold mutual fund or E-Gold.

Below is the edited transcript of his interview on CNBC-TV18.

Q: Investment in gold appears to be in flavour. Which is a better form of holding them, is it E-gold or gold ETFs? What E-Gold actually means? Could you give us the tax implications for both?

A: E-Gold is basically provided through the National Spot Exchange platform, which is a different platform different from that of the National Stock Exchange. Any broker who is affiliated to this exchange would be able to provide the investor E-Gold.

One needs to have a demat account with that broker so that you can buy E-Gold like you would buy a stock. E-Gold is very similar to what an ETF is. The question is when to choose E-Gold? When to choose gold ETF? E-Gold is much cheaper form of investment but the disadvantage is that it is tax inefficient.

The holding period for long-term capital gains is one year for gold ETF whereas for E-Gold it is three whole years. Gold ETFs offer you a flat slab of 10 percent capital gains which is not available for E-Gold; they only have 20 percent after indexation for inflation based on the cost inflation index.

If one is looking at very long-term then E-Gold is a good option to use. E-Gold has an easy ability to convert to physical gold, so it could be used if you want to take it out in physical gold. If one is looking at shorter term then gold ETF would probably be a better option.

Q: Since gold is trading upwards of Rs 31,000 per 10 grams is it still prudent to invest in gold or should one wait for a dip? Could you also tell us which gold fund should one invest in?

A: In turbulent times, gold is a good asset to have and it is also complimentary to your equity portfolio. If you are an equity investor, gold helps reduce your risk because while equity markets are doing badly, gold ends up doing well. Apart from that, today the government debt across the world is very significant and at very high level, so gold is one commodity that is an alternative to government bonds.

Gold should continue to do well for some more time. Considering that gold has already run up reasonably, I would suggest investing in gold, in a systematic basis. You can do it either through a gold mutual fund and the other option is E-Gold.

Thursday, August 15, 2013

Top 5 Penny Companies To Watch For 2014

This company's announcement earlier this week was leaps and bounds above all the Wall Street expectations, writes MoneyShow's Jim Jubak, also of Jubak's Picks.

The stock market liked what it heard Wednesday, August 7, from Thompson Creek Metals (TC) after the close in New York. Second quarter adjusted net earnings of 8 cents a share crushed the Wall Street consensus of a penny a share. Revenue climbed 3.8% to $117.8 million versus expectations for revenue of just $1.3.8 million. The company also said that its new Mt. Milligan mine is on schedule with a start-up for the concentrator expected this month, with first ore-feed by mid-August. The company said it expects commercial production to begin in the fourth quarter of 2013, with production ramping to full capacity over the next twelve months.

Top 5 Penny Companies To Watch For 2014: China Recycling Energy Corporation(CREG)

China Recycling Energy Corporation provides energy saving and recycling products and services in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in the design, sale, installation, lease, and operation of top gas recovery turbine systems (TRT) and other renewable energy products. It also builds cement low temperature heat power generator (CHPG) and waste gas power generator (WGPG) systems. The company, through a joint venture, Inner Mongolia Erdos TCH Energy Saving Development Co., Ltd, with Erdos Metallurgy Co., Ltd., recycles waste heat from Erdos Metallurgy Co.?s metal refining plants to generate power and steam. China Recycling Energy Corporation offers its products and services to enterprises in the iron and steel, cement, coking, and metallurgy industries. The company was formerly known as China Digital Wireless, Inc. and changed its name to China Recycling Energy Corporation in March 2007. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Xi An City, the People?s R epublic of China.

Top 5 Penny Companies To Watch For 2014: Paid, Inc.(PAYD)

Paid, Inc. focuses on providing brand-related services to businesses and celebrity clients in the entertainment, sports, and collectible industries. The company?s brand management, brand marketing, social media marketing, product design and merchandising, and authentication services, as well as Website design, development, and hosting services help its clients in growing their customer base in size, loyalty, and revenue generation. It offers entertainers, celebrity athletes, and business entities Web-presence and related services supporting and managing clients? official Websites and fan-community services, including e-commerce, VIP ticketing, live event fan experiences, user-generated content, client content publishing and distribution, fan forums, social network management, and social media marketing, as well as customer data capture, management, and analysis. Its brand support services also comprise design and production of print, audio, and video promotion marketing ma terials for client branded products and events. In addition, Paid, through official fan Website stores and other Web-based outlets, and on-tour and retail outlets, sells merchandise for celebrities. Further, the company, through AuctionInc, offers a suite of online shipping management tools, which assist businesses with e-commerce storefronts, shipping solutions, inventory management, and auction processing. Paid, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Worcester, Massachusetts.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Fitz Gerald]

    Paid Inc. (OTC: PAYD)PAID is a one-stop brand management and marketing resource to music, entertainment and sports personalities and organizations, and offers AuctionInc online shipping calculation and shopping cart software employing its patented technology to streamline ecommerce. (OTC:PAYD), (PAYD)

Top 10 Growth Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Trailer Bridge Inc.(TRBR)

Trailer Bridge, Inc., an integrated trucking and marine freight carrier, provides freight transportation services between the continental United States, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic. It provides services through southbound containers and trailers, as well as through marine vessels that are configured to carry 48 inch and 53 inch long, and 102 inch wide high-cube equipment. The company also involves in moving new and used automobiles, non-containerized or freight not in trailers, and freight moving in shipper owned or leased equipment. It offers highway transportation services in the continental United States; and marine transportation services between Jacksonville, Florida, San Juan, Puerto Rico and Puerto Plata, and the Dominican Republic. The company also provides rail transportation services. In addition, it engages in chartering its vessels that are not in liner service to third party operators. The company ships furniture, consumer goods, raw materials for manufacturing, electronics, new and used automobiles, and apparel to Puerto Rico; healthcare products, pharmaceuticals, electronics, shoes and recyclables from Puerto Rico; raw materials for manufacturing to the Dominican Republic; and apparel, raw materials for manufacturing, and recyclables from the Dominican Republic. As of December 31, 2010, it operated a fleet of 141 tractors comprising of 79 company owned units and 62 leased and owner operator units; 2 736' triple-deck ro/ro ocean-going barges and 5 triplestack box carriers; and 3,957 high cube containers, 3,157 chassis, 164 high-cube trailers, and 299 vehicle transport modules, as well as leased 435 chassis and 531 high-cube containers. Trailer Bridge, Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

Top 5 Penny Companies To Watch For 2014: Mission West Properties Inc.(MSW)

Mission West Properties, Inc. engages in the acquisition, marketing, leasing, and management of research and development properties, primarily in the Silicon Valley portion of the San Francisco Bay Area. As of December 31, 2006, it owned or managed 107 properties, totaling approximately 7.7 million rentable square feet of research and development properties through limited partnerships. Mission West Properties qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income tax to the extent that it distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its shareholders. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California.

Top 5 Penny Companies To Watch For 2014: S1 Corporation(SONE)

S1 Corporation provides payments and financial services software solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Banking: Payments, Banking: Large Financial Institution (FI), and Community Financial Institution (FI). The Payments segment provides ATM and retail point-of-sale driving, card management, and merchant acquiring solutions to financial institutions, retailers, and transaction processors of various sizes globally. The Banking: Large FI segment offers consumer banking, small business and corporate online banking, trade finance, and mobile banking solutions to large banks globally; branch and call center banking solutions to large banks outside of the United States; and software, custom software development, hosting, and other services to State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Company. The Banking: Community FI segment provides consumer and small business online banking, mobile banking, voice banking, and branch and call c enter banking solutions to community and regional banks, and credit unions in the United States. The company also provides various professional services, such as project management, implementation, custom software development, integration, educational, and Web design services; and customer support services. In addition, it offers hosting services comprising systems outsourcing, data center hosting, and operational management and control across a range of personal, small business and corporate Internet banking, mobile, voice, and payment processing applications. The company primarily serves banks, credit unions, retailers, and transaction processors. S1 Corporation was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Norcross, Georgia.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Is Hewlett-Packard̢۪s Stock Price Heading Higher?

With shares of Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ) trading around $19, is HPQ an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

Hewlett-Packard is a provider of products, technologies, software, solutions and services to individual consumers, small- and medium-sized businesses and large enterprises, including customers in the Government, health and education sectors. Its operations are organized into seven segments: the Personal Systems Group , Services, the Imaging and Printing Group, Enterprise Servers, Storage and Networking, HP Software, HP Financial Services and Corporate Investments. Hewlett-Packard’s offerings include personal computing and other access devices; multi-vendor customer services, including infrastructure technology and business process outsourcing, application development and support services, and imaging and printing-related products and services. Hewlett-Packard is an established technology name worldwide and when consumer and companies large and small demand technology products, solutions, or software,  it is just about the first in line to provide them. As economies around the world continue to develop, Hewlett-Packard is providing the products that fuel and sustain their growth. Through its segments, Hewlett-Packard has the resources and innovation to continue to providing products and technologies to growing businesses across various sectors.

T = Technicals on the Stock Chart are Mixed

Hewlett-Packard stock has been in a long-term decline since early 2010. The stock has recently rebounded off of lows and may be attempting to change the direction of price momentum. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, Hewlett-Packard is trading around its rising key averages which signal neutral to bullish price action in the near-term.

HPQ

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(Source: Thinkorswim)

Taking a look at the implied volatility (red) and implied volatility skew levels of Hewlett-Packard options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

Hewlett-Packard Options

38%

80%

78%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a very significant amount of call and put options contracts, as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

May Options

Average

Average

June Options

Average

Average

As of today, there is an average demand from call and put buyers or sellers, neutral over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a very significant amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral over the next two months.

On the next page, let’s take a look at the earnings and revenue growth rates and the conclusion…

E = Earnings Are Decreasing Quarter-Over-Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on Hewlett-Packard’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for Hewlett-Packard look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

2012 Q4

2012 Q3

2012 Q2

2012 Q1

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

-13.70%

-3060.95%

-582.80%

-23.81%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

-5.59%

-6.72%

-4.87%

-2.97%

Earnings Reaction

12.28%

-11.95%

-8.12%

3.27%

Hewlett-Packard has seen decreasing earnings and revenue figures over the last four quarters. From these figures, the markets have been confused about Hewlett-Packard’s recent earnings announcements.

P = Excellent Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has Hewlett-Packard stock done relative to its peers, Accenture (NYSE:ACN), Dell (NASDAQ:DELL), International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM), and sector?

Hewlett-Packard

Accenture

Dell

IBM

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

39.30%

19.68%

31.85%

1.49%

5.58%

Hewlett-Packard has been a relative performance leader, year-to-date.

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Conclusion

Hewlett-Packard provides technology products and services to growing businesses in new and old industries worldwide. The stock has suffered in recent years but is now seeing a strong bounce off of lows. Earnings and revenue figures have been shrinking which has sent mixed vibes among investors. Relative to its peers and sector, Hewlett-Packard has led in year-to-date performance. WAIT AND SEE what Hewlett-Packard does this coming quarter.

Friday, August 9, 2013

Will RealD's Earnings Finally Catch Up With Its Stock?

On Thursday, RealD (NYSE: RLD  ) will release its latest quarterly results. With its stock having jumped sharply throughout the past year or so, investors should look closely to make sure its fundamentals are keeping up with its share price.

RealD has benefited from the rise of 3-D technology at movie theaters, with an increased willingness and demand for 3-D content not only for niche offerings but for blockbuster releases. Yet the company also has to face competition from a large and growing rival. Let's take an early look at what's been happening with RealD over the past quarter and what we're likely to see in its report.

Stats on RealD

Analyst EPS Estimate

($0.19)

Year-Ago EPS

$0.10

Revenue Estimate

$42.97 million

Change From Year-Ago Revenue

(14.1%)

Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters

2

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

How will RealD's earnings fare this quarter?
Analysts have gotten a lot more optimistic in recent months about RealD's earnings prospects, narrowing their March-quarter loss estimates by $0.06 per share and now anticipating a modest profit for the fiscal 2014 year. The stock has already gotten a head start on the turnaround celebration, jumping almost 30% since the end of February.

From RealD's recent performance, investors who are new to the stock might be perplexed by the company's weak revenue and earnings. When you look back to the company's 2010 IPO, you'll notice that the stock has actually come down quite a bit, as huge revenue growth in the company's fiscal 2010 and 2011 years gave way to stagnant sales in 2012 and revenue declines this year. Given the rise of blockbuster action franchises that have brought in billions in box-office receipts for major movie companies, that trend is troubling for RealD. The decision from Sony (NYSE: SNE  ) to stop subsidizing the 3-D glasses that viewers need to watch RealD versions of films as of a year ago was also a big contributor to RealD's decline, as it put another barrier in front of would-be 3-D patrons. It also marked a big loss of confidence for RealD, as Sony had formed a partnership with RealD years before RealD went public to develop 3-D projection equipment, and therefore Sony had a vested interest in seeing RealD succeed as well.

The main rival that RealD faces is IMAX (NYSE: IMAX  ) , and the biggest challenge IMAX poses for RealD is that IMAX and its huge-screen theaters give viewers an impressive experience even with 2-D films. That flexibility has been a key component driving IMAX's growth, with a global footprint extending to hundreds of theaters in more than 50 countries worldwide. RealD has tried to match that with its precision white-screen technology, but RealD can't make theater-operators install the huge screens to match up to IMAX.

Still, with a share of box-office receipts for movies that studios show in 3-D format, RealD hopes to turn things around with the coming release of Man of Steel later this month. Moreover, with the blockbuster Iron Man 3 not having been released until early May, none of that movie's impact will be in RealD's March numbers.

In RealD's report, therefore, the more important information will come from any guidance the company gives for its June quarter. If RealD can't make solid strides toward sustainable profitability with such an impressive lineup of blockbuster movies, then investors need to take a second look at their entire premise for owning the stock.

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Click here to add RealD to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Thursday, August 8, 2013

2 Reasons Mutual Funds Perform So Badly

Actively managed mutual funds have attracted trillions of dollars in assets. Yet historically, their performance hasn't been able to stand up to a simple low-cost S&P 500 index fund, which has outperformed more than 80% of actively managed large-cap funds over the past 10 years.

In the following video, Fool contributor Dan Caplinger explains why so many actively managed mutual funds have failed to keep up with the market averages. After identifying two key sources of friction that hit overall returns, Dan concludes that investors seeking simplicity in their investing shouldn't shy away from index mutual funds and ETFs that offer broad-market exposure at minimal cost. Dan offers some ideas on appropriate investments in a number of different areas.

To learn more about a few ETFs that have great promise for delivering profits to shareholders, check out The Motley Fool's special free report "3 ETFs Set to Soar." Just click here to access it now.

Wednesday, August 7, 2013

Fossil - Solid Earnings Report Could Send Shares To Fresh All-Time Highs

Shares of Fossil Group (FOSL) are seeing a large jump upwards on Tuesday after the company reported a strong set of second quarter results.

With shares trading around all time highs at the moment, I remain cautious despite the solid operating performance and the shareholder friendly strategy. The valuation is not compelling enough for me to pick up shares at the moment.

Second Quarter Results

Fossil generated second quarter revenues of $706.2 million, up 11.0% on the year before. Revenues came in ahead of consensus estimates of $691.2 million.

Net earnings rose by 18.5% to $67.7 million. Earnings per share rose by 25% on the back of share repurchases in recent time, and came in at $1.15 per share.

Second quarter earnings saw a $0.08 per share benefit as a result of a shift of marketing and systems related expenses into the third quarter. Even when adjusting for this benefit, earnings comfortably beat consensus estimates of $0.93 per share.

CEO Kosta Kartsotis commented on the developments during the quarter, "We are pleased to continue our positive momentum and report record second quarter results that surpassed both our revenue and earnings expectations."

Looking Into The Results...

The solid revenue growth was slightly tempered by adverse currency movements which shaved off $2.3 million in second quarter revenues.

US wholesale revenues were up by 4.2%. Excluding the negative $15 million impact of sales being shifted into the first quarter, revenue growth would be quite impressive.

European revenues were up by 15.0% driven by strength in the UK and Germany. Asia-Pacific revenues rose by 17.7% while direct-to-consumer revenues rose by 16.1% driven by store openings and same store sales growth.

Operating margins rose by 130 basis points to 15.1% on the back of a 190 basis point improvement in gross margins which topped at 57.9%. Gross margins rose on the back of an improved sales mix, and the acquisition of Skagen, among others! .

...And The Remainder Of The Year

Third quarter sales are expected to increase between 12.5% and 13.5%. As such, revenues are expected to come in between $770 million and $776 million. Operating margins are expected to come in between 15.0% and 15.5%, while diluted earnings per share are expected to come in between $1.30 and $1.37 per share. This includes a $0.08 charge related to the shift from second quarter expenses.

The third quarter revenue guidance came in ahead of estimates of $761 million. The earnings guidance was a bit soft compared to consensus estimates of $1.46 per share.

Full year sales are expected to increase between 11.0% and 12.0%. Operating margins are expected to come in between 16.75% and 17.25% resulting in diluted earnings per share between $6.15 and $6.35 per share.

Valuation

Fossil ended its second quarter with $313.3 million in cash and equivalents. The company operates with $341 million in total debt, for a rather flat net cash position.

Revenues for the first six months of the year came in at $1.39 billion, up 13% on the year before. Net income rose by 21% to $140 million, or $2.36 per share. Full year revenues could come in around $3.2 billion while earnings could come in between $360 and $370 million.

Factoring in gains of 20% on the back of the earnings release, with shares exchanging hands around $127 per share, the market values Fossil at $7.4 billion. As such, operating assets are valued around 2.3 times annual revenues and 20 times annual earnings.

Fossil does not pay a dividend at the moment.

Some Historical Perspective

Long term holders in Fossil have seen great returns over the past decade despite witnessing quite some volatility in recent years.

Shares fell from highs of $40 in 2007 to lows of $10 in 2009. Shares have risen to highs around $130 in 2011 and 2012 before they fall back a bit. The action following the strong earnings report suggests the stock will make a new attempt to set fresh a! ll time hi! ghs.

Between 2009 and 2012, Fossil has increased its annual revenues by a cumulative 85% to $2.9 billion. Net earnings advanced by 150% to $343 million.

Investment Thesis

Investors are impressed with Fossil's strong results over the past quarter and the solid outlook for the remainder of the year. As a result, Fossil raised its full year earnings outlook to $6.15-$6.35 per share. This compares to consensus estimates of $6.17 per share.

The company's strategy to reposition low-priced jewelry with an "affordable luxury" image has boosted demand for Fossil's products, notably for its watches and handbags. Fossil sells popular brands including Diesel, DKNY, Emporio Armani and Michael Kors (KORS).

The solid financial state of the company has allowed Fossil to rapidly grow across the globe, while repurchasing its own shares. The decision to spend $169 million to repurchase 1.7 million shares during the second quarter, has been a great investment as shares have risen almost 30% ever since. The remaining $843 million of shares being authorized for further repurchases allow the company to retire 11% of its outstanding share base at current prices.

Investors are applauding Fossil's management for a very strong operating performance accompanied by a shareholder-friendly financial strategy. After the large jump following the release of the earnings report, I see few reasons to pick up shares at this point in time. Despite the solid operating performance in recent years, the current valuation at 20 times this year's estimated earnings is not compelling enough for me to pick up shares around their all time highs.

Source: Fossil - Solid Earnings Report Could Send Shares To Fresh All-Time Highs

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. (More...)